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Assist. Eslam Ahmed Elhanafy Mohamed :: Publications:

Meteorological factors affecting the risk of transmission of HPAI in Miyazaki, Japan
Authors: Genki Arikawa, Yoshinori Fujii, Maiku Abe, Ngan Thi Mai, Shuya Mitoma, Kosuke Notsu, Huyen Thi Nguyen, Eslam Elhanafy, Hala El Daous, Emmanuel Kabali, Junzo Norimine, Satoshi Sekiguchi
Year: 2019
Keywords: Not Available
Journal: Veterinary Record Open
Volume: Not Available
Issue: Not Available
Pages: Not Available
Publisher: Not Available
Local/International: International
Paper Link:
Full paper Not Available
Supplementary materials Not Available

Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreaks engender a severe economic impact on the poultry industry and public health. Migratory waterfowl are considered the natural hosts of HPAI virus, and HPAI viruses are known to be transmitted over long distances during seasonal bird migration. Bird migration is greatly affected by the weather. Many studies have shown the relationship between either autumn or spring bird migration and climate. However, few studies have shown the relationship between annual bird migration and annual weather. This study aimed to establish a model for the number of migratory waterfowl involved in HPAI virus transmission based on meteorological data. From 136 species of waterfowl that were observed at Futatsudate in Miyazaki, Japan, from 2008 to 2016, we selected potential high-risk species that could introduce the HPAI virus into Miyazaki and defined them as ‘risky birds …

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