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Prof. Fahmy Metwali Ahmed Bendary :: Publications:

Title:
ELECTRICAL LOAD FORECASTS IN LONG –TERM AND IMPACT ON LOAD MANAGEMENT APPLICATION
Authors: Fahmy BENDARY, Hassan MAHMOUD, Salem EL- SHEIKH
Year: 2013
Keywords: Not Available
Journal: 22nd International Conference on Electricity Distribution
Volume: Not Available
Issue: Not Available
Pages: Not Available
Publisher: Not Available
Local/International: International
Paper Link: Not Available
Full paper Not Available
Supplementary materials Not Available
Abstract:

The target of this paper is impacting Demand Side Management (DSM) when it is applied at different sectors; residential, commercial, public, government, agriculture, industrial and the total load of these sectors on national network of power system in Egypt for year (2009-2010) and estimating load forecast for these sectors by Adaptive Network Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) techniques during the period from year (2010-2011) to year (2020-2021).The daily load curve for maximum load of August month for year (2009-2010) as base year on Egyptian power system is expressed. Daily load forecast by using three techniques; Adaptive Network Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) technique, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) technique and Regression technique are estimated during period from year (2010-2011) to year (2020-2021). he is found the ANFIS technique is more suitable than other techniques. The daily load curve for maximum load of day from year (2009-2010) as base year on Egyptian power system is presented. Estimated daily load forecast by (ANFIS) technique during period from year (2010-2011) to year (2020-2021)is shown.

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