Egypt has recently been seeking to adopt a food policy that would raise the level of protein nutrition as
one of the important measures of the level of progress and people's well-being. The state's plans aim to achieve
self-sufficiency in food commodities as much as possible. The problem of the study is represented in the
insufficient local production of white meat to meet the consumption needs, which leads to an increase in imports
of the commodity, and consequently, the burden of the cost of importing it from abroad, and consequently
increasing the deficit in the trade balance, and thus negatively affecting the balance of payments. The study aims
to analyze the indicators of white meat production in Egypt by identifying the most important economic factors
affecting both production and consumption and trying to predict the future values of these factors.
The results showed that the local production of white meat during the period from (2000-2019) took an
increasing general trend, and its significance was statistically proven at a significant level of 0.01 by about 38,84
thousand tons, with an annual change rate of about 3.52% of the annual average during the period. While, the
results showed that the available for consumption took an increasing general trend, its statistical significance
was proven at 0.01 level, and the annual increase rate amounted to about 44.71 thousand tons, with an annual
change rate of about 3.92 from the annual average during the same period. Statistical estimates of the nutritional
gap of white meat indicated that there is a general increasing trend that proves its statistical significance at a
significant level of 0.01 and the annual increase rate reached about 5.57 thousand tons, which represents about
16.64% of the average nutritional gap of white meat. As for the development of the self-sufficiency rate of white
meat, a general decreasing trend, its significance was statistically proven at a significant level of 0.01, and the
annual rate of decrease amounted to about 0.38 thousand tons, which represents about 0.39% of the selfsufficiency rate of white meat.
The results of forecasting the future status of white meat production and consumption also indicated an
increase in white meat production in Egypt from 1,752 thousand tons in 2019 to about 3,615 thousand tons in
2027, with an estimated increase of 1863 thousand tons. Panama The quantity consumed of white meat
increased from 1825 in 2019 to about 4,458 thousand tons in 2027, an increase of 2,633 thousand tons. |
