Egypt has recently been seeking to adopt a food policy that would raise the level of protein nutrition as one
of the important measures of the level of progress and people's well-being. The state's plans aim to achieve selfsufficiency in food commodities as much as possible. The problem of the study is the inadequacy of the local
production of red meat to meet the consumption needs, which leads to an increase in imports of the commodity
and, consequently, to an increase in the burden of the cost of importing it from abroad, and consequently an
increase in the deficit in the trade balance and thus negatively affecting the balance of payments. The study aims
to identify the current and future conditions of red meat production and consumption in Egypt and study the
most important factors affecting both production and consumption and forecasting them until 2027, in order to
help decision makers, develop plans and programs aimed at reducing the gap and increasing production.
The results showed that the local production of red meat during the period (2000-2019) took an increasing
general trend, amounting to about 6.97 thousand tons, while the results showed that the available for
consumption took an increasing general trend that proved statistically significant at a significant level of 0.01
and the rate of increase reached The annual rate is about 35,31 thousand tons, with an annual change rate of
about 2.94 from the annual average during the same period. Statistical estimates of the nutritional gap of red
meat indicated that there is a general increasing trend that proves its statistical significance at a significant level
of 0.01 and the annual increase rate reached about 28,33 thousand tons, which represents about 2.94% of the
average nutritional gap of red meat. And about the development of the self-sufficiency rate of red meat, the
equation of the general time trend indicated that there is a general decreasing trend, which has been statistically
significant at a significant level of 0.01, and the annual decrease rate has reached about 1.5 thousand tons, which
represents about 1.98% of the average percentage of red meat. Self-sufficiency in red meat.
The results of predicting the future situation of production and consumption of red meat indicated a
decrease in red meat production from 717 thousand tons in 2019 to 688.89 thousand tons, a decrease of 28.11
thousand tons in 2027, while the consumed quantity of red meat increased from about 1162 thousand tons in
2019 to about 1901.37 thousand tons, an increase of 739.37 thousand tons in 2027.
Recommendations:
1 -Working to increase production through the numerical and quantitative increase in the heads of farm animals,
through the national project for veal, with its two parts, local and imported, which preserves animal wealth
and works to provide many job opportunities while offering good meat to the markets at fair prices for both
the breeder and the consumer.
2 -Acquisition of good breeds because they are distinguished by good genetic factors, and by giving them their
nutritional needs, their genetic efficiency is shown and maximum production is given. As for low breeds,
they must be disposed of.
3 -Providing and improving green fodder
4 -The use of agricultural waste and by-products as food for animals after chemical, mechanical and biological
treatment by following the new methods of biological treatment, which is the cultivation of green fodder
throughout the year using agricultural residues without soil, where agricultural waste is collected and used as
a medium for the germination of barley grains, which is characterized by its high nutritional value and high
content of protein, its short agricultural cycle, its low production costs, its low need for water, and its ease of
cultivation.
5- Increasing the production of green fodder by expanding the cultivation of Egyptian alfalfa in the valley and
delta, expanding the cultivation of Hijazi alfalfa in marginal and reclaimed lands, and expanding the
cultivation of forage crops with a comparative advantage in marginal lands such as sisban, jawar and
mashaw. |
